Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000098 0.000108 0.000120 0.000132 0.000147 0.000162 0.000180
2026-01-18 0.000082 0.000097 0.000113 0.000132 0.000156 0.000182 0.000215
2026-01-25 0.000071 0.000088 0.000107 0.000132 0.000164 0.000202 0.000251
2026-02-01 0.000063 0.000081 0.000103 0.000133 0.000171 0.000220 0.000287
2026-02-08 0.000055 0.000074 0.000098 0.000131 0.000176 0.000235 0.000319
2026-02-15 0.000050 0.000069 0.000094 0.000130 0.000181 0.000251 0.000354
2026-02-22 0.000045 0.000065 0.000091 0.000130 0.000187 0.000268 0.000392
2026-03-01 0.000041 0.000060 0.000087 0.000129 0.000191 0.000282 0.000426
2026-03-08 0.000038 0.000058 0.000086 0.000130 0.000198 0.000300 0.000468
2026-03-15 0.000036 0.000055 0.000083 0.000130 0.000203 0.000317 0.000509
2026-03-22 0.000033 0.000052 0.000081 0.000129 0.000207 0.000330 0.000545
2026-03-29 0.000031 0.000051 0.000080 0.000131 0.000216 0.000353 0.000599
2026-04-05 0.000029 0.000048 0.000079 0.000131 0.000222 0.000373 0.000649
2026-04-12 0.000027 0.000046 0.000077 0.000131 0.000226 0.000389 0.000696
2026-04-19 0.000026 0.000044 0.000075 0.000130 0.000230 0.000406 0.000746
2026-04-26 0.000024 0.000042 0.000073 0.000130 0.000236 0.000425 0.000800
2026-05-03 0.000022 0.000040 0.000070 0.000128 0.000237 0.000437 0.000843
2026-05-10 0.000021 0.000038 0.000069 0.000127 0.000240 0.000453 0.000895
2026-05-17 0.000020 0.000037 0.000067 0.000128 0.000246 0.000473 0.000956
2026-05-24 0.000019 0.000035 0.000065 0.000126 0.000248 0.000487 0.001006
2026-05-31 0.000018 0.000034 0.000065 0.000127 0.000254 0.000510 0.001077
2026-06-07 0.000017 0.000033 0.000064 0.000127 0.000259 0.000530 0.001144
2026-06-14 0.000016 0.000032 0.000062 0.000126 0.000262 0.000545 0.001202